Minnesota corn farmers finished harvest with October average prices of $3.02 per bushel, 13 cents below a year earlier and well below production costs. The EPA's 2018 renewable fuel standard held at 15 billion gallons, with cellulosic volumes down 7%.
Stable RFS volumes support ethanol corn demand, but low farm prices relative to costs keep pressure on corn markets and farmer selling.
After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.