
UAE Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei said OPEC and allies could draft a strategy in June to end output cuts if the market is no longer oversupplied. Kuwait said the cuts may end before 2019 if the market rebalances by June, and the UAE described signs of stronger demand growth and moderate US shale growth in 2018.
A possible exit from cuts in 2018 would add supply and pressure crude prices, while the stronger demand signals offset some of that risk.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.