
Capital Economics says sterling's rally against the dollar, up 3.86% since mid-December, is not justified by interest rate differentials or Brexit developments. The firm attributes much of the move to broad dollar weakness, with the dollar index down 2% in January alone.
It expects the pound to retrace some gains if the Federal Reserve speeds up rate hikes in 2018.
If sterling reverses as forecast, dollar-priced feed imports become cheaper for UK buyers in local currency terms, but the link to grain and feed prices is weak.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.