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The yuan's central parity rate strengthened 202 basis points to 6.4372 against the dollar on January 16, its highest level since December 2015. CICC cut its end-2018 yuan forecast from 6.48 to 6.28, citing an expected weaker dollar this year.
A stronger yuan lowers the yuan cost of dollar-priced feed imports, which can support Chinese buying interest for grains and meal. The forecast points to continued yuan strength if the dollar stays weak.
english.www.gov.cnJan 16, 2018After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
