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India's Apeda farm export basket rose 11% in rupee terms and 15% in dollar terms for April-November, led by non-basmati and basmati rice, guar gum and dairy. Onion exports slumped after a minimum export price was imposed to curb domestic prices.
Strong Indian rice export demand supports global rice prices, while export curbs on onions shift trade flows without a major grain impact.
After 189 past bullish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.4%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.