The International Energy Agency said global oil markets are tightening quickly as Venezuela's output fell to about 1.61 million bpd in December, near a 30-year low, and could fall further in 2018. OPEC's December crude output dropped to 32.23 million bpd, lifting its compliance to 129%.
A tightening market driven by Venezuelan declines and OPEC compliance supports crude prices, which raises energy and transport costs across feed supply chains.
After 116 past bullish report events, BRENT moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 131 past bullish report events, WTI moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.4%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.