Black Sea Grain-2018: European Commission expert to make an outlook on Ukraine-EU grain and food trade

After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.

• Jan 1, 2023A Trade Hope: The impact of the Black Sea Grain Initiative | UNCCD-1.8%
• Jan 13, 2022Trade and trade policy outlook, 2022-1.3%
• Aug 22, 2023Kyiv says EU transport subsidies to help Ukrainian grain export+1.6%
• Oct 26, 2023Neighbourly feuds. The problem with Ukrainian grain on the Central European markets | OSW Centre for Eastern Studies-3.5%
• Aug 4, 2026Ukraine introduces 0.714 coefficient for minimum export prices on grains and oilseeds-0.5%

After 137 past neutral policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Jan 1, 2023A Trade Hope: The impact of the Black Sea Grain Initiative | UNCCD-0.7%
• Aug 22, 2023Kyiv says EU transport subsidies to help Ukrainian grain export-4.2%
• Oct 26, 2023Neighbourly feuds. The problem with Ukrainian grain on the Central European markets | OSW Centre for Eastern Studies+2.2%
• Aug 4, 2026Ukraine introduces 0.714 coefficient for minimum export prices on grains and oilseeds+0.1%
• May 14, 2025U.S. grains: Soybeans hit nearly 10-month high on biofuel and trade hopes - Grainews-3.8%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.