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Market-implied Fed and Bank of Canada tightening through 2019 is priced nearly identically, despite signs the Canadian economy has lost momentum. The article highlights a disconnect between rate expectations for the two economies.
Divergence between expected rate paths shapes currency valuations, which affect the USD cost of Canadian-origin feed inputs, though the direct commodity price effect is limited.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.