
Reuters reports that Hershey, Mondelez, J M Smucker and Campbell Soup cited higher transportation costs for lower holiday-quarter margins. Driver shortages and higher diesel prices are expected to raise freight costs further in 2018.
Bernstein estimates truck rate increases will cut gross margins by 15-18 basis points.
Higher freight and diesel costs raise the landed cost of feed ingredients and finished products for buyers, and they add to logistics pressure on grain and feed movements. Diesel price strength feeds directly into transport costs.
After 113 past bullish logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.8% to +4.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.