
U.S. corn futures rose more than 3% and soybeans bounced from a decade low as USDA data showed planting well behind pace, with 30% of corn and 9% of soybeans planted. Wheat also firmed about 2%, and short-covering added to the rally.
Planting delays raise the risk of a smaller or later U.S. crop, which supports corn, soybean and wheat prices and tightens feed grain supplies for buyers.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Planting delays (9% of soybeans planted) and short-covering sparked a rally from decade lows, matching the sharp one-day move in soybeans.