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Teagasc research presented at the National Tillage Conference found winter oat yield gains plateau at 120-150 kg N/ha. Each extra 30 kg N/ha reduced hectolitre weight by about 3.3%.
This is agronomic research on fertilizer rates with no measurable effect on oat prices or supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.