Ukrainian sunflower seed production for 2017/18 was cut by about 6.1% in yield to roughly 13.8 million tonnes after April frost, May cold and summer drought. Processing capacity is about 18 million tonnes per year and is expanding as new extraction plants come online.
Export prices for crude sunflower oil are the main factor determining processing margins.
Tighter seed supply and rising processing capacity compete for raw material, which pressures crush margins and can support sunflower meal and oil values.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.