The rupiah approached IDR 14,000 per dollar on April 23, its weakest level since December 2015, as the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to about 3%. Markets had raised expectations of faster US rate hikes, prompting foreign investors to pull money from emerging market assets.
Rupiah weakness raises the dollar cost of imported feed ingredients for Indonesian buyers. The move is driven by external US rate expectations rather than domestic fundamentals.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.