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John Kemp analyzes recent statements from OPEC ministers and suggests the group is shifting its target from inventory levels to upstream investment. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said there is no target price and that higher prices will be needed to fund investment.
If OPEC targets investment rather than stocks, it may keep supply restrained and accept higher prices, which supports crude prices over the longer term.
energynow.comApr 12, 2018After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
