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A former senior official with China's foreign exchange regulator expects the yuan to follow a two-way fluctuation path in 2018, with little disturbance from US trade talks unless actual conflict occurs. The yuan's central parity rose 3.1% against the dollar in the first four months of 2018.
A stable yuan implies no currency-driven shift in Chinese import costs for US soybeans and feed grains, so trade headlines remain the main price driver.
global.chinadaily.com.cnWang YanfeiMay 22, 2018After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
