
Emerging-market central banks are struggling to defend their currencies against market pressure. Indonesia raised rates by 50 basis points, the Philippine peso hit a 12-year low despite a rate hike, and the Indian rupee reached an all-time low.
Weak emerging-market currencies lift local costs of imported feed grains and oilseed meals, and rising oil prices add to importers' expenses in India and Southeast Asia.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.