Wyoming Livestock Roundup reports on a May 23 webinar in which Lance Zimmerman of CattleFax said higher feedstuff prices from U.S. drought are expected to depress feeder cattle futures. He noted feeder cattle were at their highest levels relative to deferred live cattle since 2015 and that cattle feeders were facing projected losses.
Expected higher hay and corn prices from drought raise feeding costs, pressuring feeder cattle values and limiting demand for feed inputs as feeders cut placements. The commentary is a forecast from a May webinar rather than a new market event.
After 29 past bearish weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +2.6%), and +2.4% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.