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Arkansas grows only a small oat acreage, about 8,000 harvested acres in 2017, mostly under contracts with local seed companies. Most oats go to Texas for livestock forage or cattle and horse feed, and the state's oats are a niche market.
Arkansas oat production is too small to move national oat prices; the story describes a niche market with little price impact.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.