
The House passed H.R. 2 on June 21, 2018 by 213-211, and the Senate passed its version on June 28 by 86-11.
CBO scores put mandatory spending at about $867 billion in the Senate bill and $865 billion in the House bill over FY2019-FY2028.
Both bills largely maintain existing farm programs, so they provide policy continuity and reduce uncertainty about support levels, with limited immediate price impact.
After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.