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India Ratings and Research expects global potash prices to stay in a $200-300 per tonne range in the short to medium term. It cites faster projected capacity growth than demand growth, at 4.0% against 2.2% a year over 2015-2020.
A range-bound outlook with capacity growing faster than demand caps upside for potash prices. Buyers can expect limited price spikes beyond the current rebound.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.