
Malaysia's second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 4.5% year on year from 5.4% in the first quarter, well below the 5.2% expected, driven by weak net exports. ING cut its 2018 growth forecast to 4.5% and expects Bank Negara to hold policy steady for the rest of the year.
The central bank also cut its own forecast to 5.0%.
Weaker Malaysian growth and softer net exports point to lower domestic demand for commodities such as palm oil, and a slower economy keeps the ringgit under pressure.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.