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President Trump said he was not thrilled with the Fed under Chairman Powell raising rates and urged more accommodation. He also accused China and Europe of manipulating their currencies, and the dollar edged down after the comments.
Political pressure on the Fed adds uncertainty to the rate path and dollar direction, which feeds through to commodity prices and currency-linked import demand.
financialpost.comReutersAug 21, 2018After 15 past bearish policy events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (27% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.0%), and -0.0% over 20.
After 50 past bearish policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
