Natural gas prices traded lower as profit-taking set in and traders priced in warmer February conditions and fewer freeze-offs than expected. February gas settled 19.2 cents lower at $3.756.
Feedgas flows were disrupted by an offline Freeport LNG terminal before resuming, and a record storage draw was expected.
Feedgas disruptions at LNG terminals shift gas between domestic and export use, affecting energy costs for processors. Expectations of a record storage draw are supportive, but warmer forecasts limit upside for feed-related energy costs.
After 15 past neutral weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -5.0% over 5 sessions (27% higher; middle half -11.3% to -0.9%), and +4.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Profit-taking and warmer February expectations with fewer freeze-offs than feared pushed February gas down 19 cents to $3.756.