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Futures in New York fell as much as 4.8% on December 2, 2021, after reports that Russia proposed OPEC+ keep its planned 400,000 barrel-per-day output increase. Brent also declined.
OPEC+ was meeting as the Omicron variant clouded the demand outlook.
A proposal to keep the planned supply increase adds to expected surplus and pushes crude lower. Weaker crude lowers energy and transport costs and can soften biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils.
bloomberg.comAlex LongleyDec 2, 2021After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
