
The rupee closed at a record low of 74.39 per dollar on October 9, after breaching 74 for the first time the previous day. The fall was attributed to crude oil above $84, strong dollar demand from importers and foreign fund outflows.
Currency weakness combined with high crude prices raises India's import costs and can curb purchases of US and Brazilian feed commodities. The effect is bearish for Indian demand at the margin.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.