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US natural gas futures rose about 12% over the past month to roughly $3.16/mmBtu, hitting a seven-month high of $3.26 on Wednesday. Stockpiles are heading into winter at their lowest in at least a decade, and a hotter-than-usual autumn raised power demand.
Nuclear plant outages added to the rally, though prices eased 2% after a 98 Bcf storage injection.
Tight storage going into winter raises the risk of a heating-season price spike, which lifts feed-plant energy and drying costs. Higher gas prices also support ethanol and DDGS production costs.
cnbc.comTom DiChristopherOct 4, 2018After 221 past bullish weather events, NATGAS moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
