Oanda's Stephen Innes said the ringgit could test 4.20 per US dollar by year-end and reach 4.30 next year if fiscal improvements do not materialise. He cited the risk of a Malaysian sovereign credit downgrade after Budget 2019 and a strong dollar, with the ringgit at 4.1768 on November 5.
A weaker ringgit trend raises Malaysian import costs and can support the ringgit price of palm oil exports. The outlook is a forecast rather than a new supply or demand shock.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 86 past neutral macro events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.