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MUFG expects the US dollar to remain dominant into 2019 as other currencies lose momentum, citing strong US growth and slowing growth elsewhere. The dollar rose just over 2% in October and is up 4.6% for 2018, while the pound and euro are down year to date against the dollar.
A persistently strong dollar tends to pressure dollar-priced commodities and can make US grain and oilseed exports less competitive, while supporting import affordability for buyers in weaker-currency markets.
poundsterlinglive.comJames SkinnerNov 5, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
