Loading…
A shipping report says the Baltic Dry Index rose strongly in the first three quarters of 2018 but Q4 gains are unlikely. Chinese iron ore imports were down 0.5% over the first ten months, and U.S. Gulf soybean shipments to China are expected to fall well short of last year.
The author says the trade war will disappoint peak-season U.S. soybean exports.
Lower soybean export volumes to China reduce dry-bulk demand and weigh on freight rates for grain cargoes. Weaker U.S. export flows add pressure on soybean prices and export basis.
maritimes.grNov 22, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
