Rural Bank's annual crop review forecasts Australia's 2018/19 winter crop at about 30 million tonnes, 30 per cent below the previous season and the smallest in a decade. Dry conditions in eastern states drove the decline, while Western Australia is expected to be near or above average.
A sharply smaller Australian crop reduces exportable barley and wheat supply, supporting global feed grain prices and Asian buyers' sourcing costs.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.