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Lean hog futures settled lower in a holiday-shortened session, with outside markets bearish amid a stock market slump. Reports of a second African swine fever outbreak in Guangdong province, China, were also noted.
African swine fever spread in China could increase Chinese import needs for pork over time, but broader market weakness and holiday trading pressured hog prices.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.