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Goldman Sachs strategists say the rand should stay well supported in coming weeks, as it has been the best-performing emerging-market currency over the past month and week. They flag the February budget and May general elections as the main risks.
Continued rand strength lowers the local-currency cost of dollar-priced feed ingredients for South African buyers. Political and budget risks could reverse the trend, adding uncertainty to import costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.