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Several major banks revised their 2019 ringgit forecasts stronger against the US dollar after the currency beat estimates in Q4 2018. Mizuho expects the ringgit to strengthen below RM4 by Q3 2019, and the Bloomberg consensus target moved to RM4.12 from RM4.20.
A stronger ringgit lowers the ringgit cost of dollar-priced palm oil exports and tends to weigh on Malaysian palm oil prices in local terms, while forecasts of further gains point to a firmer currency backdrop.
nst.com.myAmir Hisyam RasidJan 14, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 86 past neutral macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
