
The euro was flat near $1.19 against the dollar and was on course for its worst week since October, with a 1.6% weekly fall. The shift followed Fed forecasts showing 13 of 18 policymakers expecting rate hikes in 2023, up from six previously.
Earlier expected Fed tightening lifts the dollar against major currencies, which tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and meal prices and weakens US export competitiveness.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.