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Analysts expect Canadian agricultural trade to largely avoid fallout from the Huawei arrest and China's reaction. Canadian canola markets are described as stable but uncertain.
Trade policy and interest rates are flagged as key 2019 risks alongside weather.
Expectations that China trade will continue limit the risk premium on canola, but any escalation would still threaten a key export outlet and pressure prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.