U.S. dairy exports are nearing record levels as Mexican demand for dairy products continues to exceed that country's production. November cold storage data showed butter stocks fell 20.2% from October to 213.5 million pounds, the largest two-month decline since 2021.
Total cheese inventory also fell for an eighth straight month.
Strong export pull and falling butter and cheese stocks tighten U.S. dairy supplies, supporting milk prices.
After 41 past bullish trade events, MILK moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +8.1%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Cold storage data showing a 20.2% monthly drop in butter stocks and eight straight months of lower cheese inventories, plus near-record Mexican export demand, tightened the supply picture and supported Class III futures.