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Russia plans to export about 1.415 million metric tons of ULSD from its Baltic Primorsk terminal to Northwest Europe in February. That is down from 1.48 million tons in January but up about 6% per day and 2.7% above February 2018.
Steady Russian diesel supply into Northwest Europe adds to regional availability and tempers European diesel prices.
After 28 past bearish trade events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -5.0% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.