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Analysts assessed the impact of a dovish Fed on emerging-market currencies after the FOMC removed its projected 2019 rate hikes, with a majority of members now seeing zero hikes. Currencies covered include the Singapore dollar, Korean won, rupiah, yuan, ringgit and peso.
A softer Fed path tends to weaken the dollar and support emerging-market currencies, which lowers the local cost of dollar-denominated feed imports across Asia and Mexico.
exchangerates.org.ukElaine HoustenMar 21, 2019After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
