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The yuan strengthened on news of a possible US-China trade deal, with USD/CNY falling 0.25% to 6.6882. NatWest Markets expects the yuan to weaken to 6.8 per dollar by year-end as growth slows.
A firmer yuan on trade hopes supports Chinese import demand for US farm goods, while the expected weakening later in the year would work against that.
After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.