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The Trump administration's budget proposal would cut crop insurance and commodity subsidies by $28 billion. Trade groups representing crop insurers argue the policies would become unaffordable for farmers.
Proposed subsidy cuts create policy uncertainty around farm risk management, but the budget is only a proposal and has limited near-term effect on feed grain prices.
politico.comRyan McCrimmonMar 12, 2019After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
