
ABARES' latest Agricultural Commodities report estimates the value of 2018-19 farm production at $58 billion, down 4%, driven by eastern drought and poor winter crops. Production is projected to grow to $61 billion by 2023-24 if seasons return to normal.
Drought-driven supply losses in eastern Australia support regional grain prices in the short term, while the projected recovery points to lower prices later as output rebuilds.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.