
Three OPEC sources said the group was unlikely to decide its output policy in April and expected a June decision. The likely outcome was a rollover of the current cuts, with exempt countries already well below October output levels.
The sources said the decision depends on the scope of US sanctions on Iran and Venezuela.
A likely June rollover signals continued supply restraint, which supports crude prices and the energy costs that feed on them.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.