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The dollar's rally faltered on Monday despite strong US data, trading in a narrow range as Japan began a week of holidays. Traders were focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, Brexit talks and US inflation and payrolls data.
A firmer or softer dollar shifts the price of dollar-denominated grains and meal, so a stalled rally modestly supports US export competitiveness and commodity prices.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.