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The USDA report says the rate to ship grain from the U.S. Gulf to Japan was $42.00 per metric ton as of April 11, 11 percent below the start of the year. First-quarter U.S. grain inspections for export fell 6 percent from last year, with corn and soybeans lower and wheat higher.
Low ocean freight and weaker export inspections for corn and soybeans point to soft export demand and cheap shipping, which weighs on U.S. export prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
