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National Bank Financial analyst Krishen Rangasamy argues the causality between a strong US dollar and slowing global growth is unclear. He notes a strong dollar can curb trade volumes because most bank trade finance is dollar-denominated.
A stronger dollar raises the cost of dollar-denominated trade finance, which can reduce import demand for feed grains and oilseeds in emerging markets. This is a bearish factor for commodity demand.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetMay 27, 2019After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
