Oil rose after signs that OPEC and its allies would extend production cuts beyond June, with Saudi Energy Minister Al-Falih urging the group to stay the course. Gains were limited by rising US inventories and the deteriorating US-China trade relationship.
Middle East tensions and involuntary outages in Venezuela and Russia also supported prices.
Extended OPEC+ cuts keep crude supply constrained, supporting diesel and energy costs for feed logistics. Trade-war demand worries and rising US stocks limit how far prices can rise.
After 442 past bullish policy events, BRENT moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.