
KAS nitrogen fertilizer prices in Europe have fallen sharply since February but appear to have bottomed, with about 10 tonnes costing no more than €225 excluding VAT. Distributors expect prices to rise again as drought-driven stocks dwindle, while urea prices have not fallen this spring.
Uncertainty from the US-China trade dispute and the dry season is weighing on sentiment.
A bottoming KAS price combined with tightening stocks suggests limited downside for European nitrogen costs. Urea's firmness keeps the broader nitrogen complex supported.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.