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CRU Group argued on June 28 that the Fed has moved to a wait-and-see stance focused on downside risks such as slowing global growth and weaker trade. It expects dollar strength to persist until the July 30-31 FOMC meeting and the outcome of the US-China G20 talks.
A firmer dollar view reduces the price support that a weaker currency would otherwise give dollar-denominated commodities and makes US feed exports less competitive abroad.
crugroup.comAuthor Lisa Morrison EconomicsJun 28, 2019After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
