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Foreign exchange markets are speculating that Beijing may allow the yuan to devalue after months of pressure, with the dollar up about 150 basis points against CNY this year. Reuters reported Chinese firms are hoarding dollars, and Western governments have raised concerns about possible currency manipulation.
China has recently announced large public spending on manufacturing and an export push.
A weaker yuan would make Chinese exports cheaper and could cut the local-currency cost of feed imports, but it would also raise trade tensions that could affect global agricultural trade flows.
disruptionbanking.comHarry ClynchMay 8, 2024After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
