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USDA's initial 2019 sunflower estimates put the US oil-type crop at 1.9 billion pounds, about flat with last year, on slightly higher planted acreage and a lower trend yield. Oil-type prices are projected near $16.10/cwt and confection-type near $21.60/cwt.
Domestic crush is expected to rise 5% to 1.1 billion pounds.
A roughly flat US crop with higher crush points to steady sunflower meal supply for feed buyers, with no strong price shock indicated.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.